![]() Elite or Elite+ Elijah & Lailah (1 or 2 copies): the Twins are great for Guild Hunt, Twisted Realm, Abyssal Expedition and Hunting Fields even at Elite ascension.Focus on them before moving to the next tier. These are the highest priorities and the most impactiful investments you can make on Stargazing. Do NOT wishlist Lightbearers, Maulers, Wilders or Graveborns on Stargazing. This is the best place to ascend Celestial and Hypogean heroes. Looking for the best heroes to stargazer in AFK Arena? This quick guide will show you how to do it properly! Rare Enhancement Token x1 = 1,000 Enhancement Points To be accurate, I believe sticking with single pulls yields the correct result, putting the probability of getting your desired hero at 2.64%.Stargazing Room Droprates / Probabilities RewardsĢ% Note: it’s proven that there is a pity timer, so you can’t spend more than 32,500 diamonds or 65 cards by using single pulls (or 35,000 diamonds or 70 cards by using 10x pulls) without getting a single copy. In reality the probability for each pull in a 10 pull should be less than 2.73%. I think it’s just a result of treating ten pulls as one, but I’ll look into it and update as necessary.Įdit: the discrepancy arises because the probability for the ten pull is the probability of getting at least one while single pulls are exactly one. Note: I’m aware of the weird discrepancy between the average number of pulls and the probabilities. In terms of probability per pull, it comes out to 0.0273 or 2.73% for each pull in a ten pull and 0.0264 or 2.64% single pulls. I ran a Monte Carlo simulation in Python which gave 37.805, 37.857, and 37.812, which is what we expect from the calculation. I tried the same calculation with single pulls, which yields 37.844 single pulls on average. Thus, pulling in 10s with a pity timer on 7, it would take a little more than 4 pulls to get a hit. ![]() You can then work backwards from M(6) to M(5) and so on until you get to M(0) = 4.138. Similarly, M(4) = 1 + (1 - p)*M(5), and the pattern continues all the way down to M(0). The one in the beginning accounts for the pull on 5. This puts us in the 6 pull scenario, which will take M(6) more pulls. With probability 1 - p, we don’t get what we want, and we have to pull again. If I pulled 5 times, then with probability p, we get a hit, and it takes 0 additional pulls. If I already pulled 6 times, then the pity timer will kick in next time I pull, so the mean number of additional pulls having already pulled 6 times is 1. Let the probability of a hit in the 10 pull be p. You can treat stargazer pulls as a Markov process. I’m not sure why you’re dividing by the chance to pull from all amounts? I did something like: chance to pull * cards used / total chance to pull from all pull amounts 10/20/30/40/50/60/70 WhiteSushii estimated 2.5%, so I feel like my math went wrong somewhere (maybe everywhere), but I'm too dumb to accurately articulate what I did, much less figure out where I went wrong since I haven't done probability since high school. I'm trying to find what the average number of stargazing cards is to pull a wishlisted hero, assuming a 2% default rate but a 70 pull pity timer guarantee. Useful Links FAQ OFFICIAL WIKI GUILDS MEGATHREAD FRIEND REQUEST MEGATHREAD QUESTION MEGATHREAD PULLS MEGATHREAD DISCORD FACEBOOK TWITTER INSTAGRAM Poll posts require an option titled "I just want to see the poll results" Posts that do not clearly and correctly credit the artist in the title AND/OR do not have permission to be posted from the artist will be removed. Promotion must be kept within acceptable limits.Īrt theft is not allowed. No duplicate posts or recently posted topics. No personal attacks, witch hunts, or inflammatory language. No Guild Requests/Promotion outside of the Megathread, Click here for Megathread. Got a question? Try using the Reddit Wiki or use the search function first. No Tavern/Stargazer/Furniture or any lucky draws/pulls will be allowed outside of the Weekly Megathread. The FAQ/Wiki section holds all the required knowledge for newer players. Pre-Chapter 10 questions will be removed. No off-topic or low-effort content or comments. If the post is a question, you also need to show a picture of the stage/floor and the heroes you have. Posts regarding stage questions/solutions must follow this format: Title or Title. This is a Community-run subreddit dedicated to AFK Arena, a Mobile RPG.
0 Comments
Leave a Reply. |
AuthorWrite something about yourself. No need to be fancy, just an overview. ArchivesCategories |